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The Clarion predicts 2010 Oscar winners

Contenders prepare to be crowned at Sunday's annual Academy Awards

Entertainment editor, Sports editor

Published: Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Updated: Tuesday, March 2, 2010 02:03


BEST PICTURE

Contenders: The five contenders for best picture this year mirror the five directors nominated for best director. It is interesting that the field has been extended to 10 films, which has allowed movies like "District 9" and "An Education" to get much deserved attention from cinema lovers. However, those two films don't stand a chance competing with "Avatar," "The Hurt Locker" and "Inglourious Basterds." At this point, these are three films to beat.

Outcome: Although "Avatar" will walk away with the most statues come Sunday, the highest grossing film of all time will not be bringing home the most important piece of metal. "The Hurt Locker" is by far a better film than the immersive "Avatar." It is simply the best war movie since "Saving Private Ryan" and definitely the most intense psychological depiction of what drives men into combat.

 

 

Ignored: The Academy chose to give random nominations to films like "The Blind Side" as well as Best Animated Film-favorite "Up," while ignoring moving dramas such as "The Road" and "Where the Wild Things Are."  Some other notable snubs are the original romantic comedy "(500) Days of Summer," sci-fi stalwart "Star Trek" and the year's most popular comedy, "The Hangover."

 

BEST DIRECTOR

Contenders: There are some excellent choices this year for best director.  Quentin Tarantino did an excellent job with one of his best films ever, "Inglorious Basterds." Kathryn Bigelow's "The Hurt Locker" is one of the best films about the psychological impact of war in years.  And, of course, James Cameron's "Avatar" blew everyone's mind.

Outcome: Although there were some excellent films this year, there is no doubt who will win this award. James Cameron's "Avatar" has revolutionized film-making in a way that only comes along every few decades, and he is clearly the most deserving of this prestigious honor.  Although "Avatar" may not be the best film of the year, no one can doubt that the filmmaking itself was spectacular, and James Cameron deserves an enormous amount of credit for that. 

 

BEST ACTOR

Contenders: This year includes several actors who are accustomed to the Oscar spotlight like George Clooney for "Up in the Air" and Morgan Freeman for "Invictus." However, the field also includes some newcomers in the form of Jeremy Renner for "The Hurt Locker" and Jeff Bridges for "Crazy Heart."

Outcome: George Clooney's critically acclaimed peformance as Ryan Bingham in "Up in the Air" certainly makes him a front-runner. However, Jeremy Renner's chilling performance as Staff Sergeant William James in "The Hurt Locker" is certain to earn him some consideration as well. Look for Renner to take home the first Oscar of his career. 

 

BEST ACTRESS

Contenders: This year's contenders encompass an extensive range in both age and experience from legends such as Meryl Streep in "Julie and Julia" to unknowns like Carey Mulligan in "An Education." There's also a wide range in between, including Sandra Bullock for "The Blind Side," Helen Mirren for "The Last Station" and Gabourey Sidibe for "Precious."

Outcome: There is no clear front-runner in this race even though Sandra Bullock gave one of the best acting performances of her career in "The Blind Side" and Meryl Streep proved she only gets better with age in "Julie and Julia." However, this particular year feels like it's one for the dark horses because, although both Bullock's and Streep's performances were worthy of nomination, perhaps neither deserves to win, which opens up the door for the other three candidates. Of those, Helen Mirren's performance in "The Last Station" might be the best.

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Contenders: Although Stanley Tucci delivers a hauntingly memorable performance in "The Lovely Bones," he stands no chance to Christoph Waltz's turn as Nazi Col. Hans Landa in "Inglorious Basterds." Waltz has obliterated the competition so far during award season and looks to do the same on Sunday night. Eighty-year-old Christopher Plummer is the only actor who could spoil Waltz' night, as he earned his first Oscar nomination for his portrayal of Leo Tolstoy in "The Last Station."

Outcome: There is no doubt about who is going to win: Waltz is a lock in this category. It is impossible, even with the presence of Plummer and Tucci, for the Academy not to award the Austrian actor for his iconic performance. It is simply the most memorable acting performance in any of the four acting categories.

Ignored: Nobody can really complain, but Matt Damon's nomination for "Invictus" seems to be the one flawed area in this category. If the Academy would have spared Damon, they could have made room for Anthony Mackie ("The Hurt Locker") or Alfred Molina ("An Education").

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Contenders: This year's contenders include Penelope Cruz's exciting and lustful performance in "Nine," Maggie Gyllenhaal's heartfelt and sensitive depiction of Jean Craddock in "Crazy Heart" and Anna Kendrick's ambitious Natalie in "Up in the Air." 

Outcome: Best Supporting Actress is generally either given to an actress that can steal the screen and enrapture the viewer in moments, or to an actress that can best utilize her performance to bring out the best in the rest of the cast. With this in mind, Anna Kendrick has to be considered a favorite. Her performance as Natalie in "Up in the Air" is simply astounding, and hshe perfectly complimented Clooney's character Ryan Bingham. Mo'Nique may also be a dark-horse candidate for "Precious."

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4 comments

Anonymous
Wed Mar 3 2010 21:31
These are pretty awful. Bigelow is an absolute lock for Director, she's one virtually every award this season excluding the Globe which never mean much anyway.

Jeff Bridges is a newcomer? A four time nominee and one of the most respected actors working today is a newcomer? Yeah, you clearly know what you're talking about. Bridges is winning, Clooney's buzz died months ago along with the buzz for his film.

Mo'Nique is a lock, Kendrick hasn't had any momentum since her NBR win, Mo'Nique's momentum has only grown since Sundance, she's won every major award, how can you possibly think she's losing let alone call her a dark horse?

You are clearly just basing these predictions on your own preferences and not on the state of the race.

Anonymous
Tue Mar 2 2010 19:02
These are pretty far off, and I would hate for people to take you serious who don't know anything about this industry. Hurt Locker may win best film, but it certainly is no lock and I think a slight underdog to Avatar. Mainly because now with the field of nominees expanded to 10, and all the mainstream voters will stick with Avatar while those who would have picked Hurt Locker on a shortlist may through their vote on one of the other eight.

Also, Bigelow hands down will win director. A) No woman has ever won and there are a good number of women voters. B) There's a good number of voters turned off by Cameron, and C) There's a lot of people who think she was the hands down pick for director (She one the DGA award, and almost lock to win the Oscar). This one won't even be close.

Actor of the year will be Jeff Bridges. This is also an absolute lock. He won the SAG award, and the field isn't strong to begin with.

Actress of the year is a toss-up between Streep and Bullock, but it will probably go to Bullock.

And supporting actress is Mo'Nique. She is definitely not a "dark-horse" won the Golden Globe/SAG, the only thing that was holding her back, was her refusal to show up for appearances. But she's got this.

But, hey you got Waltz right, no question there.

Oscar's are never that big of a guessing game, there's too many award shows that have large numbers of Academy voters already voting beforehand.

Anonymous
Tue Mar 2 2010 19:00
These are pretty far off, and I would hate for people to take you serious who don't know anything about this industry. Hurt Locker may win best film, but it certainly is no lock and I think a slight underdog to Avatar. Mainly because now with the field of nominees expanded to 10, and all the mainstream voters will stick with Avatar while those who would have picked Hurt Locker on a shortlist may through their vote on one of the other eight.

Also, Bigelow hands down will win director. A) No woman has ever won and there are a good number of women voters. B) There's a good number of voters turned off by Cameron, and C) There's a lot of people who think she was the hands down pick for director (She one the DGA award, and almost lock to win the Oscar). This one won't even be close.

Actor of the year will be Jeff Bridges. This is also an absolute lock. He won the SAG award, and the field isn't strong to begin with.

Actress of the year is a toss-up between Streep and Bullock, but it will probably go to Bullock.

And supporting actress is Mo'Nique. She is definitely not a "dark-horse" won the Golden Globe/SAG, the only thing that was holding her back, was her refusal to show up for appearances. But she's got this.

But, hey you got Waltz right, no question there.

Oscar's are never that big of a guessing game, there's too many award shows that have large numbers of Academy voters already voting beforehand.

Anonymous
Tue Mar 2 2010 18:08
Jeff Bridges is certainly not a newcomer. This is his fifth oscar nomination, and he is likely to win-he's already won the golden globe and SAG award for his performance. Clooney will unlikely win, seeing he already has won an oscar and did not transform himself for his role, but rather played a similar character to his true personality.






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